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Third party candidate over/under 5% of the popular vote?

Will a third party candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote during the 2016 presidential election? ...or expound on the idea.

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Yes please. 5% would qualify a new party as a "minor party candidate". Trump, Sanders, Romney, etc. could all plausibly win 5% running as a 3rd party in the general election.

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