Do any of you prefer long bets over short? I find the short ones (Approval polls, Debate bump/burn, etc) to be difficult to, err, predict, and more like betting on odds than I had wanted on this site, and gradually am finding myself placing bets on the longer geopolitical contracts. Not to say I don't get sucked into the short term bets at all, but I find the longer ones to be honestly less stressful (and, if not that I'm better at the long terms, I at least lose money less often. Interested in anyone's thoughts on it.