Seriously, we need a few more of these will leader X remain a leader through month/year markets.
I think Erdogan would be a nice addition. Others might include the current leaders in Ukraine, China, North/South Korea, and Japan.
Most likely many of them will resolve Yes unless you got global chaos. Still I don't see why we only got Merkel, Assad, Rousseff Maduro and Putin to bet on. Please add some more leaders!
I second this suggestion for a new market, "Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remain President of Turkey through 2016?"