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Can we get which-party-will-win-New-Mexico contract?

There are lots of states with electoral college markets, but not NM.

2 people like this idea

Agreed. New Mexico was much closer still, but a number of additional states are suitable for markets, in terms of states where less than a 10% rise in one party, mirrored by a corresponding fall in the other party, would flip them compared to the last presidential election.

After all, up to +/- 10% for each candidate is presently within the realm of debate in this exciting and unpredictable election season (from some perspectives anyway), so any state which had under a 20% total margin of victory is of potential interest.

That includes Minnesota (mirrored 4 point shift to flip) and Illinois (mirrored 8.4 point shift to flip), among others, even Connecticut.,_2012#Results

Agreed please add a market for NM's Electoral College votes. It has the largest % Llatino population in the state, so the contract would be good bellwhether for how each  party is courting the Latino vote (or not).


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