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A poll for the conspiracy inclined

My crazy brother in law and his friends are absolutely convinced that Obama is going to cancel the election and establish a Caliphate since they already believe everyone he has appointed is a Muslim or has converted to Islam as a condition of appointment. I'd love to see how widespread this belief is and if people who say they hold that view are prepared to put money behind it.

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It would be interesting to see how widespread that belief is, but it would run counter to the stated mission of PredictIt to provide serious political data (as opposed to sociological research of fringe groups).  I can't imagine that they would risk their reputation in politics with such a sociological research.

Makes sense Peter.

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