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New Supreme Court Justice Confirmation

When next will a Supreme Court justice be confirmed by the senate?

  • On or Before August 31, 2018
  • September 1 - September 30, 2018
  • October 1 - October 31, 2018
  • November 1 - November 30, 2018
  • December 1 - December 31, 2018
  • On or After January 1, 2019


Following the launch of this Market, the date upon which the U.S. Senate commences a confirmation vote on the nomination of an individual to the position of associate justice or chief justice of the Supreme Court and such vote passes shall be during the time period named in the question. The vote on the nomination will be considered to have commenced once at least one senator has cast a vote. So long as a vote on the nomination commences prior to expiration, the date upon which the vote commences will be used to resolve this market, even if the vote concludes after expiration. The results of the vote need not be available upon expiration.
1 Comment

I like the idea, but that seems like a long time frame. Maybe recurring markets that end on the final day of the month, with the options being day 1 - 6, day 7 - 12, etc.

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