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Will Iowa Republican Caucus winner have a margin of victory of 5% or more?

Title says it all. Either make it yes/no or add tiers like 1+, 3+, 5+, etc. 


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I think this is a good bet. I would like addition bets on early dynamics of the nominating process. The big early primaries/caucuses are Iowa, NH, SC, NV. Nominating anyone who doesn't win at least one of these is going to be a big deal.
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