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More Bets on Convention Dynamics

I think there are some better bets here with more clear criteria by which they could be judged: super delegates and other delegate differ in which candidate they give a plurality of their votes on the first ballot super delegates and other delegate differ in which candidate they give a plurality of their votes on the last ballot if c happens superdelegates back the winning candidate with a majority. superdelegates back the winning candidate with a majority regardless of c) non-superdelegates back winner with a majority the eventual winner is the candidate getting the most superdelegate votes on the first ballot
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